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Former Goldman Sachs executive Raoul Pal says that crypto markets could witness an extended bull market that goes longer than most are expecting.
In a speech at the Sui (SUI) Basecamp event, Pal says that despite an elongation of the cycle due to a slower-than-expected rate-cutting cycle, crypto markets are in the midst of entering what he refers to as “The Banana Zone,” or the most parabolic phase of the digital asset market cycle.
The macro guru says that he’s expecting crypto’s market cycle to potentially peak during the first six months of 2026.
“It can’t be clearer to me. I’ve shown you the macro evidence, the technical evidence, the sentiment evidence. Everything suggests to me that, hold on to your hats, don’t f*ck this up, don’t lose control of your tokens, don’t use leverage, don’t get your wallet hacked, just sit with it, be careful, don’t get FOMO (fear of missing out), do all of the right things, and we’ll go up to the next phase…
That’s going to be harder, because when that happens, we’ll have a 35% drop and you’ll all say, ‘Is it over?’ And you’ll definitely be sure it’s over and everybody on Twitter will tell you it’s over, and it won’t be over.
By our work, we suggest that, because of the elongation of the business cycle, because rates were higher for longer, the forward-looking liquidity suggests that, again probabilistically speaking without any guarantees, this whole thing goes into Q1 or maybe Q2 of 2026. which would align with Trump trying to win the midterms as well. So everything’s lined up for us, I think we’ve started.”
