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Crypto analyst and trader Ali Martinez is warning that Bitcoin (BTC) may not be done correcting despite the recent bounce.

Martinez tells his 135,000 followers on the social media platform X that market indicators, including a “death cross” on the daily timeframe, suggest Bitcoin is not convincingly breaking out.

A death cross in technical analysis occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA) drops below the 200-day MA and is used to identify a weakening market.

“While the recent Bitcoin bounce has been strong, the higher time frames suggest caution:

  • Death cross recently formed on the daily chart.
  • SuperTrend indicator still shows ‘Sell.’
  • Monthly open at $82,500 acting as resistance.
  • Descending trendline from all-time high sits around $84,000.
  • 50-day moving average at $85,800.
  • 200-day moving average at $87,000.”

Bitcoin Charts Suggest Caution Despite Recent Strong Bounce, According to Crypto Trader

Source: Ali Martinez/X

Looking to the upside, Glassnode says that based on the historical precedent of the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), the flagship crypto asset faces a key resistance level at $94,500.

The MVRV is the ratio of Bitcoin’s market capitalization compared to its realized capitalization – the value of all Bitcoin at the price they were bought at.

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The MVRV’s extreme deviation pricing bands are used to determine possible market bottoms and tops, with the 1.0 standard deviation being the upper band and -1.0 standard deviation being the lower band.

“As Bitcoin rebounds, the next immediate resistance stands at $94,500, according to pricing bands.”

Bitcoin Charts Suggest Caution Despite Recent Strong Bounce, According to Crypto Trader

Source: Ali Martinez/X

Lastly, the analyst says that Bitcoin may see a massive rally if the top digital asset by market cap can reclaim $86,900 as support based on the Mayer Multiple.

The Mayer Multiple is a technical tool that measures the difference between the current price of BTC and the 200-day moving average to determine if Bitcoin is overbought or oversold.

“Based on the Mayer Multiple, Bitcoin could find solid support around $69,500. And, a breakout above $86,900 might set the stage for a market top near $208,550.”

Bitcoin Charts Suggest Caution Despite Recent Strong Bounce, According to Crypto Trader

Source: Ali Martinez/X

Bitcoin is trading for $79,829 at time of writing, down 3.9% in the last 24 hours.

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