Analytics platform Swissblock says one metric indicates that a local bottom is in for Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins.
In a new post on X, Swissblock says the crypto market is in a reset phase based on its Aggregated Impulse metric, which measures exponential price structure across the top 350 assets.
According to the analytics firm, the metric has been a reliable bottom signal for BTC and altcoins since 2024.
“The last seven times this signal triggered since 2024, it marked a major bottom.
What happened next?
BTC rallied +20–30%
Altcoins surged +50–150%…
What’s it telling us now?
22% of altcoins show negative impulse. Historically, bottoms form in the 15–25% zone. Once the reset completes, ETH & alts tend to lead the next rotation.”
Source: Swissblock/X
Looking closer at Bitcoin, Swissblock sees consistent demand for BTC from multiple investor cohorts, while noting that sellers are losing ammunition.
“Bitcoin’s range is nearing resolution.
• 10 weeks trapped in $109,000–$124,000.
• LTH (long-term holder) distribution slowing? seller exhaustion close.
• ETFs (exchange-traded funds) + treasuries persistent buyers.
• Seasonality flips bullish into Oct/Nov.
• Fed easing cycle adds tailwinds.
Swissblock Vectors show the inflection:
Bitcoin Vector: Impulse score compressing at the upper band? coiled energy.
Altcoin Vector: Breadth improving, ETH + majors rotating higher.
Key trigger: A reset through negative aggregated impulse would flush weak hands and reload the signal? clearing the path for continuation.
This deadlock is not permanent. Once supply clears, Q4 setup favors a decisive breakout in both Bitcoin and altcoins.”
At time of writing, Bitcoin is valued at $109,603.